CURRENT ADVISORIES: None
LATEST FORECAST 9:30AM UPDATE:
A Moderate Risk for severe weather is still forecast for this afternoon and early evening.
Some uncertainty still remains as to whether morning storms can clear out in time to allow sufficient destabilization across the local area for severe storm development, however the potential still remains for scattered severe thunderstorms between 3 and 9pm this afternoon/evening that could contain large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes.
Several clusters of showers and storms remain anchored across portions of northern Iowa through central Illinois with plenty of cloud cover as well. The question still centers on when the cloud cover and associated precipitation moves out of the region for potential destabilization this afternoon. This ultimately determines the location of the warm front which will initiate convection.
If storms can initiate further to the north of the area, the threat for tornadoes will be greatest near this area, transitioning into more of a damaging wind threat as they move into the local area. However, if storms tend to initiate over the local area here, the tornadic threat will increase along with very large hail and damaging winds.
Make sure you have a way to receive warnings this afternoon should severe weather move into the area. Have a plan of action ready and seek shelter in a sturdy structure should your location be under a warning.
0
