Round one of potentially two rounds of heavy rainfall is currently on a trajectory to push into the area as early as this afternoon with numerous showers and a few thunderstorms moving northeastward out of the central plains. Radars this morning have been quite active with a large swath of moderate to heavy rainfall stretching from Oklahoma through Ohio.
This area of precipitation and increasing moisture will continue to push towards the area arriving early this afternoon. Expect moderate to heavy rain to continue through the early evening hours before diminishing to lighter rainfall overnight.
Lighter rain will continue into Sunday morning before another around of heavy rains are possible later in the day.
Computer forecast models continue to indicate another around of heavy rain is possible Sunday afternoon and evening as widespread thunderstorms are expected to develop in the afternoon. The model average has around 3 inches falling through Monday evening, which will push our April rainfall total up significantly. We are already well above average for the month so far sitting at 4.19 inches.
The Storm Prediction Center currently has the area under a Marginal Risk for severe storms Sunday afternoon and evening. The more substantial severe weather threat looks to stay to the south of the area according to current trends.
If you live next to a river or flood prone area you'll want to keep an eye on any possible advisories/warnings that may be issued over the next couple of days due to the expected heavy rains .