11:45AM Update: Severe weather is no longer a threat for this afternoon/evening.
We’re seeing a lull in the precipitation for now early this morning as an area of low pressure continues to intensify to our west.
So far most of the area has picked up near a half-inch of rain with an additional quarter inch possible with any thunderstorms that may form this afternoon.
The Storm Prediction Center has put the area under a marginal risk for severe storms this afternoon. A piece of energy will be working into the area later this afternoon with a few scattered thunderstorms likely to develop out ahead of this feature, especially after 2pm. Meanwhile, temperatures will continue to rise into the 50s providing a little instability of these storms to work with.
The main threats with the storms will be large hail and perhaps an isolated tornado. Confidence is very low on where exactly these storms will fire, as they could end up developing east of the area this afternoon as a few runs have indicated. We’ll continue to monitor the situation as we go through the afternoon hours.
Beyond this storm system we could see a brief period of light snow for Tuesday morning with just enough accumulation to mess up the morning commute (1″ or less), otherwise, temperatures stay fairly close to normal as we head towards mid-week.